Home › Forums › Toronto Maple Leafs › Leafs Draft and Free Agency 2026
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Unholy_Goalie.
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July 7, 2026 at 8:03 am #77264
senstrolltwo
ParticipantThe cap going up a bunch is going to take a lot of fans off guard on the contracts middling players will get.
4.77 for Hayton who is a career 45 point player will be cheap.Also the US lost after cheating to get a player back in the game..looks great on them
July 6, 2026 at 10:02 pm #77255Dozzer
ParticipantSo I was toying around with some math and it made me wonder if the Carlsson offer is as bad as it looks. Maybe we still look at things a bit too negatively thinking of the Covid cap lockdown and don’t really consider how it rises by about 9% a year nowadays.
This year it jumped by 9% and went from $95.5 mill to $104
Next year they’re figuring on 9% again and a jump to $113
Look at it if this continues at 9% a year
2026-27: $104
2027-28: $113
2028-29: $123
2029-30: $134
2030-31: $146By the end of his contract he’ll only be 12.3% of the cap hit, hell, by the middle of it he’ll only be 14.6%.
The upcoming cap jumps are going to be notably larger meaning the upcoming contracts to stars might seem huge, but they won’t really be too bad, not when businesses own the teams.
July 6, 2026 at 8:15 pm #77249dmnted
ParticipantA 2nd round pick is not a bad price but 4.775 AAV is a waste of money for 10 goals and 25 points. It also means his QO for next year will be over 5 million. If he has a shit season, you either qualify him to a gross overpayment or you lose him for nothing. The Leafs could potentially get a better player for a lower cap hit for a 2nd round pick and nearly 5 million in cap space in the UFA market. Hayton isn’t that good. The Leafs entire bottom-six is filled with guys who score 10 or less goals getting paid double what they’re worth. The only benefit would be that Hayton is at least young but overall, he’s been a bust for a top 5 pick that of course Chayka made the mistake of drafting that high.
he also had in the previous two season 19 and 20 goals and 42 and 45 pts.
4.775 AAV is the upper limit for compensation and it’s for 1 year and then, he’s a UFA. If Utah matches, they cannot trade him for a year.
It’s a little on the high side but not by much. Teams need to be above the cap floor after all.July 6, 2026 at 1:33 pm #77214Unholy_Goalie
ParticipantRogers Communications Inc. says it has signed a deal to buy the remaining 25 per cent stake in Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment it does not already own from Kilmer Sports Inc. for $4.35 billion.
Rogers now owns the entire thing with plans to sell off minority stakes to investors. They already had a majority so it’s pretty unlikely anything will drastically change other than the fact that Rogers has poured another 4.35 billion dollars into this investment and any other dissenting opinions are now fully eliminated. Larry Tanenbaum might be the last face the average fan can identify as an owner of the Leafs and that’s probably a bad thing.
July 6, 2026 at 1:22 pm #77212Unholy_Goalie
ParticipantCould Giroux become a member of this Leafs team?
Someone would need to be shipped out if he did sign with the Leafs.Leafs already wasted that money on Roslovic.
Barrett Hayton offer sheet (4.775M 1 year deal) by NJD has been signed.
No one is really talking about this one.
compensation would be a 2nd rnd pck from NJD.I was hoping the Leafs would go after him.
A 2nd round pick is not a bad price but 4.775 AAV is a waste of money for 10 goals and 25 points. It also means his QO for next year will be over 5 million. If he has a shit season, you either qualify him to a gross overpayment or you lose him for nothing. The Leafs could potentially get a better player for a lower cap hit for a 2nd round pick and nearly 5 million in cap space in the UFA market. Hayton isn’t that good. The Leafs entire bottom-six is filled with guys who score 10 or less goals getting paid double what they’re worth. The only benefit would be that Hayton is at least young but overall, he’s been a bust for a top 5 pick that of course Chayka made the mistake of drafting that high.
July 6, 2026 at 1:17 pm #77211Unholy_Goalie
ParticipantPersonally, I don’t like the Giroux fit. I think we could still use someone younger, faster and tougher. If they can move out 2 guys, I would try Tolvanen, if it was under 4m
The Leafs are hellbent on being the oldest, slowest team in the NHL for the next two years until Matthews decides he’s moving on.
Giroux is great at FOs and can pass the puck so he’s an option on the PP2 and on the top line RW for periods of time.
He’s probably better off in Philadelphia though. They could pay him more and he could end his career where it started.
July 6, 2026 at 12:47 pm #77204Mr. Sir
ParticipantPersonally, I don’t like the Giroux fit. I think we could still use someone younger, faster and tougher. If they can move out 2 guys, I would try Tolvanen, if it was under 4m
July 6, 2026 at 10:21 am #77191dmnted
ParticipantBarrett Hayton offer sheet (4.775M 1 year deal) by NJD has been signed.
No one is really talking about this one.
compensation would be a 2nd rnd pck from NJD.I was hoping the Leafs would go after him.
July 6, 2026 at 10:11 am #77189dmnted
ParticipantCould Giroux become a member of this Leafs team?
Someone would need to be shipped out if he did sign with the Leafs.-
This reply was modified 1 month ago by
dmnted.
July 6, 2026 at 8:53 am #77185senstrolltwo
ParticipantI havent seen any point projections for this current Leafs team as is, yet but My guess is 97-100 range. But could see a little less with how much of a wild card Bob could be.
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