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  • in reply to: Flyers Trade Ellis to Sharks for Grundstrom and Guryev #39480
    mickel25
    Participant

    These types of trades need to stop. Acquiring a player on LTIR should not be allowed. At least when the Lightning put Stamkos or Kucherov on LTIR for the year they were trying to win a cup. What the Sharks are doing is worse then what the Lightning or Knights have done for years.

    That said I am glad the Flyers were able to move Ellis’ contract.

    in reply to: Flyers Off Season Discussion: #23230
    mickel25
    Participant

    simply amazing the flyers haven’t won a cup in 50 years. chalk it up to bad luck I suppose

    If only they had more Dale Weise types to tell them how to win? The fact that anyone gave this dude a platform is hysterical. Can tell it is the “slow” season for hockey talk.

    I love the guys that complain about leadership. They do know they are able to take those reigns right? Anybody can be a leader. Even without a letter on the sweater.

    Losing leads to finger pointing. Winning leads to accolades. Bottom line is the Flyers were not good enough to win anything for close to 15 years now.

    in reply to: Flyers Off Season Discussion: #16989
    mickel25
    Participant

    I did not move anything. All of those teams had a #1 C and D. My point is the cost of acquiring one or both of those pieces is far less when drafting in the top five. You can get them outside of the top 5 but the percentages are against that.

    Here’s what you initially wrote. You’re seriously backpedaling:

    “The real issue is that they picked in the top 5 once in the last seven drafts. Picking once in the top five in 7 drafts is not going to get you the players you need to win a Stanley Cup. Even when you factor in the gift that Michkov turned out to be. Having a deep team is a good thing. I think they will get there on that front. If you are fine with that then so be it. I am a firm believer that you need top level talent at C and D to win in this league.”

    The draft is not the only way to get a top #1 Dman or #1 center. FLA did get that through the draft but they built most of the rest of the team through trades and free agency.

    Getting top level players via UFA requires those players to be available first and foremost. That is pretty rare. You also need to have cap space which the Flyers never seem to have. That situation looks better going into next year but let’s see what they do with it and if any of those types of players are available. Again low probability of that.

    The Flyers had some cap space this off season and will have more next season. Top players do move through UFA.

    Getting top level players via trade requires that you have top assets to move. The Flyers really do not have any top level assets they can afford to move at this point.

    We agree on that. Trade talk and the Flyers is a fool’s errand. Briere did pull a rabbit out of a hat with Zegras. Trades remain tricky.

    The Flyers rarely pick in the top five. So the chances of landing top level players is lower. They also are not acquiring desirable assets to include in trade for top level players. They never have cap space to get top level players via UFA and when/if they do those players are rarely available. The Flyers have not utilized RFA recently either. So how are they getting top level players? Not good (TK, Sanheim) players. Top level (MacKinnon, Makar) players. Having a bunch of middle six players is great if you have legitimate top line players. Having a bunch of middle six players and forcing five of them to play above their capabilities is not.

    Konecny and Sanheim are both excellent players. You don’t get chosen to the Canadian national team by being not good. The issue the Flyers have is building around the spotty good they do have.

    I truly hope you are right. I do not believe the path the Flyers have chosen will yield real success.

    in reply to: Flyers Off Season Discussion: #16860
    mickel25
    Participant

    Great job moving goalposts!

    Boston has two top five picks (Kessell, Seguin) in the five drafts leading up to the 2011 cup. They also traded away the #1 overall from 1997 in Joe Thornton.

    Kessell and Thornton were both gone when they won their cup. Seguin was a depth player.

    Kings had a top five (Doughty, Schenn, Hickey) pick three years in a row.

    Schenn was gone when LA won their Cups. Hickey was a bust.

    Pens had a top five (Crosby, Malone, Malkin, Staal and Fleury) pick five years in a row including two first overalls.

    None of them are defensemen.

    Caps had a top five (Ovi, Backstrom, Alzner) 3 out of 4 years.

    Alzner was gone when the Caps won the Cup.

    Stamkos was a center his whole career with Tampa and led them to multiple Stanley Cups

    Stamkos was playing wing for Tampa when they won their cups. Do some research.

    LVK: Might want to review that roster again. That team has had multiple top five picks on the roster and on the team that won the cup.

    THIS JUST IN: They traded for them! This is not complicated. It’s not the argument you initially made. Again, keep moving those goal posts when the myths you believe are disproved.

    I did not move anything. All of those teams had a #1 C and D. My point is the cost of acquiring one or both of those pieces is far less when drafting in the top five. You can get them outside of the top 5 but the percentages are against that.

    Getting top level players via UFA requires those players to be available first and foremost. That is pretty rare. You also need to have cap space which the Flyers never seem to have. That situation looks better going into next year but let’s see what they do with it and if any of those types of players are available. Again low probability of that.

    Getting top level players via trade requires that you have top assets to move. The Flyers really do not have any top level assets they can afford to move at this point.

    The Flyers rarely pick in the top five. So the chances of landing top level players is lower. They also are not acquiring desirable assets to include in trade for top level players. They never have cap space to get top level players via UFA and when/if they do those players are rarely available. The Flyers have not utilized RFA recently either. So how are they getting top level players? Not good (TK, Sanheim) players. Top level (MacKinnon, Makar) players.

    Having a bunch of middle six players is great if you have legitimate top line players. Having a bunch of middle six players and forcing five of them to play above their capabilities is not.

    in reply to: Flyers Off Season Discussion: #16847
    mickel25
    Participant

    The real issue is that they picked in the top 5 once in the last seven drafts. Picking once in the top five in 7 drafts is not going to get you the players you need to win a Stanley Cup. Even when you factor in the gift that Michkov turned out to be. Having a deep team is a good thing. I think they will get there on that front. If you are fine with that then so be it. I am a firm believer that you need top level talent at C and D to win in this league.

    I am willing to bet that both the Hawks and Sharks will be cup contenders a few years ahead of the Flyers. Hawks last made the playoffs in 2019-20 same as the Flyers. Sharks last made the playoffs in 2018-19. Both teams were more aggressive than the Flyers with the rebuild they executed.

    When you look at Cup winners more closely, you’ll see while Top 5 picks have had impact here and there, it’s not the only way to build a Cup winner.

    CHI: Kane and Toews. Their top Dman was a late 2nd round pick.

    BOS: Nobody fits your criterion. Boston has two top five picks (Kessell, Seguin) in the five drafts leading up to the 2011 cup. They also traded away the #1 overall from 1997 in Joe Thornton.

    LAK: Doughty fits. Kopitar was a mid-1st rounder. Kings had a top five (Doughty, Schenn, Hickey) pick three years in a row.

    PGH: Crosby and Malkin obviously. Letang was a 3rd rounder. Pens had a top five (Crosby, Malone, Malkin, Staal and Fleury) pick five years in a row including two first overalls.

    WSH: Ovi and Backstrom obviously. Nobody on D. Caps had a top five (Ovi, Backstrom, Alzner) 3 out of 4 years.

    STL: Pietrangelo. Nobody fits up front. Even the Blues had two top five (Pietrangelo, Johnson) in a three year span. The Blues are a true outlier in my opinion.

    TBL: Stamkos is a winger. Hedman fits. Tampa drafted Stamkos #1 and Hedman #2 in back to back years. Stamkos was a center his whole career with Tampa and led them to multiple Stanley Cups

    COL: MacKinnon and Makar. The best fit to your claim.

    LVK: Nobody fits. Might want to review that roster again. That team has had multiple top five picks on the roster and on the team that won the cup.

    FLA: Barkov and Ekblad. Another good fit but FLA has so much more than those two guys.

    So two good fits to your claim accounting for 3 Cups over the last 15 seasons. Hardly persuasive.

    Updated for context. The Pens are the true tanking gold standard. Every team on this list had at least two top five picks in short span. Not all were identical paths for sure. But you cannot deny that top level talent isn’t required to win.

    • This reply was modified 2 months, 3 weeks ago by mickel25.
    in reply to: Flyers Off Season Discussion: #16821
    mickel25
    Participant

    I agree that incremental improvement is what you need when you are ready to start to compete. The Flyers are not ready to compete in my opinion. Until the Flyers get the high end (specifically #1 C and #1 D) talent they need competing for a playoff spot is counterproductive in my opinion. Teams do not trade out of the top 5 and teams do not let #1 C’s and D’s go in trade or FA.

    Martone seems like he could be a piece. Michkov is here. What else are you seeing that will be near the level of Michkov? Surely nothing at center or D that could even be considered in that class.

    So the Flyers should just deliberately tank until 2030. Sounds like a plan. You seem so focused on “top end talent” you lose sight that it’s a team game. Michkov? He looks well on his way to being a “top end” scoring winger. Martone will be too. That’s two slots out of 20 on the team. I like the forwards but have written the D and goalies need to get better and the off season additions there are underwhelming. The Flyers have a #1 Dman in Sanheim, might have a #1 center in Zegras.

    The real issue is that they picked in the top 5 once in the last seven drafts. Picking once in the top five in 7 drafts is not going to get you the players you need to win a Stanley Cup. Even when you factor in the gift that Michkov turned out to be. Having a deep team is a good thing. I think they will get there on that front. If you are fine with that then so be it. I am a firm believer that you need top level talent at C and D to win in this league.

    I am willing to bet that both the Hawks and Sharks will be cup contenders a few years ahead of the Flyers. Hawks last made the playoffs in 2019-20 same as the Flyers. Sharks last made the playoffs in 2018-19. Both teams were more aggressive than the Flyers with the rebuild they executed.

    in reply to: Flyers Off Season Discussion: #16817
    mickel25
    Participant

    It would be hard to be worse. I think they will fall short of the playoffs. So somewhere in between 4th worst and 16th worst overall. Still not making the playoffs is not “significantly” better to me. I am not upset that they will not make the playoffs. Just feel like finishing outside of the bottom five does not do much for their long term success.

    You don’t get to long term success without incremental improvement from where they were at the end of the season. The goaltending was putrid. Ersson has to play better and it would be nice if Vladar can be close to this year’s Kevin Lankinen. If that doesn’t happen, yeah they’re in trouble. The D remains an issue too with two Top 4 guys coming up short of what was needed in York and Drysdale. That has to improve too. Briere decided in season last year that Frost and Farabee weren’t answers and essentially gave them away. I think those slots were filled nicely this off season. The forward corps actually looks good. Being competitive for a playoff spot this year will be satisfying to me. If they sneak in, great. Again, the rest of the conference isn’t that great.

    I agree that incremental improvement is what you need when you are ready to start to compete. The Flyers are not ready to compete in my opinion. Until the Flyers get the high end (specifically #1 C and #1 D) talent they need competing for a playoff spot is counterproductive in my opinion. Teams do not trade out of the top 5 and teams do not let #1 C’s and D’s go in trade or FA.

    Martone seems like he could be a piece. Michkov is here. What else are you seeing that will be near the level of Michkov? Surely nothing at center or D that could even be considered in that class.

    in reply to: Flyers Off Season Discussion: #16793
    mickel25
    Participant

    Finished last in conf. Facts don’t back that up

    The Flyers finished last in the league in 06-07 by 11 points and made the conference finals the next year. That’s not going to happen this year, but I just mention it in passing. In 24-25, MTL improved 15 points and OTT improved 19 points over 23-24.

    The Flyers will be significantly better this year. Do you think they’ll be worse? How come?

    It would be hard to be worse. I think they will fall short of the playoffs. So somewhere in between 4th worst and 16th worst overall. Still not making the playoffs is not “significantly” better to me. I am not upset that they will not make the playoffs. Just feel like finishing outside of the bottom five does not do much for their long term success.

    in reply to: 2025 Draft thread #11005
    mickel25
    Participant

    Michkov-TK
    Tippett-Shabanov
    Foerster

    If Shabanov is as good as they say that is a pretty good group of wings. Should have (4) 20 goalscorers and maybe (2) 30 goalscorers.

    in reply to: Flyers Off Season Discussion: #5827
    mickel25
    Participant

    Flyers do not have the horses to land Matthews.

    in reply to: Flyers Off Season Discussion: #5774
    mickel25
    Participant

    I can see the Flyers trading for Marner’s rights and then offering a max contract. My hope is they acquire a young center with the potential to be #1 someday. If that is via trade or in the draft I am fine with it.

    Plenty of vet goalies that fit the Flyers needs I would think.

    I am fine with letting the D marinate this season. I am sure they will try to upgrade. Just not sure they have the ammo to get a top tier guy.

    • This reply was modified 4 months, 2 weeks ago by mickel25.
    mickel25
    Participant

    One top 5 pick to show for five years of suckage. Oh yeah they traded that dude away because he didn’t want to be here. They were lucky to get Michkov. They might literally get another Cootes level player. The odds are so far against getting another Michkov level player doing it the way they are doing it. As always I hope I am wrong.

    mickel25
    Participant

    The O’Brien name makes me uneasy.

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