Quick Hits: Foerster, Lottery, Phantoms, Flyers Daily, World Championships

The first round of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs came to a thrilling conclusion on Sunday night. Meanwhile, the NHL Draft lottery will take play on Monday evening. Simultaneously, the Lehigh Valley Phantoms need one win to reach the Atlantic Division Final. We’ll cover all of this and more in today’s Flyers Quick Hits.

Calder Cup Playoffs: Phantoms Take Control

The Lehigh Phantoms defeated the Hershey Bears, 4-2, at the PPL Center in Allentown on Sunday evening. Ian Laperriere’s team holds a lead of two games to one in the best-of-five Atlantic Division Semifinal series. Come Friday, the Phantoms have an opportunity to eliminate the two-time defending Calder Cup champions.

Veteran goalie Cal Petersen stopped all 15 shots he faced over 28:24 in relief of Phantoms starter Parker Gahagen (15 saves on 17 shots). There is no update on Gahagen’s status as of this writing. However, the four-night break in between Games 2 and 3 may actually be beneficial. Ordinarily, such a long gap between games in a playoff series would be far from ideal. It’s still not ideal, in fact, but both teams are in the same boat.

Petersen shook off the rust to come up with multiple vital saves. Repeatedly, he took away what initially appeared to be likely goals for Hershey.

Jacob Gaucher scored the Phantoms third shorthanded goal of the series, giving Lehigh Valley a 1-0 lead at 11:23 of the first period. It was Gaucher’s second goal of the postseason. The Phantoms took the lead to intermission. However, closely spaced tallies by Andew Perrot (1st) and Ivan Miroshnichenko (1st) put Hershey ahead by the 4:27 mark of the middle stanza.

Veteran Phantoms captain Garrett Wilson (PPG, 1st) knotted the game at 2-2 with a 5-on-4 marker at 13:09 of the second period. Phantoms rookie Jett Luchanko set up the Wilson goal. It was Luchanko’s fifth point (0g, 5a) of the playoffs but first of the current series. At 15:51, Nikita Grebenkin (1st) scored what proved to be the game-winning goal. An Emil Andrae shot caromed off the end boards. Promptly, Grebenkin pounced and sniped the go-ahead goal to the top part of the net. Additionally, Anthony Richard earned secondary assists on both the Wilson and Grebenkin goals.

Olle Lycksell (2nd) added insurance at 14:09 of the third period. Lycksell sped down the right wing and fired a shot from outside the dot past Hershey goalie Hunter Shepard (22 saves on 26 shots). Andrae earned his fourth assist of the playoffs on the sequence.

Special teams once again proved crucial to the Phantoms’ win. Lehigh Valley went 6-for-6 in killing penalties, including Gaucher’d unassisted shorthander off a Hershey turnover at their own blueline. Additionally, Wilson’s 5-on-4 goal highlighted a 1-for-4 night on the power play.

Luchanko is still looking for his first goal of the playoffs but has used his speed and anticipation very well in all three zones. His playmaking has stood out repeatedly. On Sunday, Luchanko hit the post on a breakaway opportunity. Fellow rookie Alex Bump has gotten under Hershey players’ skin and been targeted for some rough treatment but given it right back. On Friday, Bump will seek his first point since a two-goal performance in Game 1 of the W-B/S series.

NHL Draft Lottery Night

The NHL Draft lottery will be held at 7 p.m. EDT on Monday evening. The drawings for the first and second picks of the 2025 Entry Draft will be televised live (for the first time) on ESPN, Sportsnet and TVA Sports. By the odds, the Flyers hold a 9.5 percent probability of capturing the first pick or the second. However, the likeliest scenario has the Flyers dropping to the fifth (44.6 percent probability) or sixth (20.8 percent) spot.

Also, there’s one unlikely scenario (0.3 percent chance) that would see the Flyers pick third in this year’s Draft. More likely, but still just 15.4 percent in probability, would be to stay at the default fourth overall spot in the Draft. However, last year’s lottery saw all 16 teams remain in their pre-lottery default spots.

Jason Myrtetus, Brian Smith and I will do a Draft Lottery Night panel show live this evening, starting at 6:45 p.m. EDT. This special bonus edition of Flyers Daily will be available on the Flyers’ social media outlets. The three of us will also share the Flyers’ broadcast on our own pages. If the Flyers come away from the lottery with the first or second overall pick, Flyers general manager Daniel Briere will hold a Zoom press conference immediately afterwards.

Flyers Daily: May 5, 2025

Jason and I did our once-per-month “Ask Billy” edition of the weekly Mondays with Meltzer episode of the Flyers Daily podcast. The audience-driven Q&As are my favorite episodes. Unsurprisingly, much of this week’s 38-minute episode focuses on NHL Draft strategy at different points of the first round.

Colorado Pick Scenarios

The Winnipeg Jets’ double-overtime win in Game 7 against St. Louis had direct bearing on the Flyers’ assets in the NHL Draft. The Jets, who won the President’s Trophy for the NHL’s best record in the regular season, were less that two seconds away from going down to defeat in Game 7. This would not have clinched an earlier pick for the Flyers with the second of their three first-round selections in this year’s Draft. However, it would have increased the opportunities to bump up the pick originally belonging to the Colorado Avalanche.

The selection acquired from Colorado defaults to the 25th overall pick. The chance to move up as high as 22nd overall is now gone. Even so, the Flyers’ second selection (via the Avalanche) can still move up one or two spots. It all depends on the outcomes of the two Eastern Conference Semifinal series.

Flyers pick 24th if: The Florida Panthers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs BUT the Carolina Hurricanes lose to the Washington Capitals. Likewise, the Flyers would get the 24th pick via Colorado if the Panthers lose and Hurricanes win in Round 2.

Flyers pick 23rd if: Florida beats Toronto AND Carolina beats Washington.

The worst-case scenario would have the Flyers pick 25th with the Colorado selection. In this event, Toronto would play Washington in the Eastern Conference Final. Florida and Carolina both finished behind Colorado in the final NHL regular season standing. For this reason, the Flyers need the Panthers and/or the Hurricanes to win in Round Two in order to move up one spot apiece.

Foerster Contract: The Coronato Effect

Immediately after the Calgary Flames signed young winger Matt Coronato to a seven-year contract extension, my thoughts turned to Tyson Foerster. The Coronato deal could set the market place value for Foerster to ink a multi-year deal with the Flyers to preempt his own impending restricted free agency prior to July 1.

Worth $45.5 million overall, the Coronato deal carries an average annual value (AAV) of $6.5 million per season. This was a relatively team-friendly contract for Calgary but also represents a huge bump for Coronato on his expiring deal. The same would be true for Foerster.

There’s also some time sensitivity here. There are rumors that at least one NHL club is considering an offer sheet to Foerster if he reaches RFA status this summer. The same was true with Coronato, which likely hastened Calgary’s sense of urgency to get a deal done. The Flyers would likely match an offer sheet on Foerster, but it’d also drive up his cap hit. Philly does have the ability to add an eighth year to a Foerster deal as an incentive to bypass restricted free agency and sign an extension sooner rather than later.

IIHF Worlds

The 2025 IIHF World Championship tournament in Sweden and Denmark starts in four days. The Flyers have three players representing Team Canada (Foerster, Travis Konecny and Travis Sanheim) and one (goalie Samuel Ersson) representing Sweden. Yesterday, Hockey Canada announced that Pittsburgh Penguins captain Sidney Crosby has committed to play in this year’s tournament.

Incidentally, in Canada’s pre-tourney tuneup against Austria on Sunday, Konecny played on a line with top 2025 NHL Draft prospect Porter Martone and Calder Trophy candidate Macklin Celebrini. Foerster played right wing on a trio with Will Cuylle and Barrett Hayton. On the blueline, Sanheim was paired with Calgary Flames prospect Zayne Parekh.

Home Forums Quick Hits: Foerster, Lottery, Phantoms, Flyers Daily, World Championships

Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 43 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #2783
    Bill Meltzer
    Participant

    There is time-sensitivity for the Flyers to complete a contract extension for RFA-to-be Tyson Foerster.

    [See the full post at: Quick Hits: Foerster, Lottery, Phantoms, Flyers Daily, World Championships]

    #2784
    yes its me 2050
    Participant

    Seems odd that they have a better chance to drop then sty in the 4th slot. Any peeps know why that is

    #2785
    DKO
    Participant

    Hi Bill, thanks for the post! Congrats and good luck with HHS.

    I hate these long term contracts for guys who aren’t stars. I like Foerster, but wouldn’t lose any sleep over losing him. The Flyers being under pressure to get him signed makes me real nervous.

    #2786
    yes its me 2050
    Participant

    “Jonesy” said if you dont want to be a flyer then you won’t. so an offer sheet shouldn’t worry the gold standard.

    #2788
    Bill Meltzer
    Participant

    The odds of dropping are higher than holding the default pick specifically as a deterrent against tanking. I’m all for it. Finishing last still has the highest odds of picking first (25.5 percent) BUT there’s nearly a 3-in-4 chance of NOT getting the first overall pick (getting the 2nd or 3rd instead). It goes on down the line for teams near the bottom of the standings.

    #2792
    TheMarvel
    Participant

    This wait to know exactly where the Flyers are picking has been killing me. I have been dreaming and I mean absolutely dreaming that the Flyers are gonna get the third overall pick. I’m always wrong, so I’m prepared to move back one slot to 5th.

    • This reply was modified 2 days, 4 hours ago by TheMarvel.
    #2794
    MBFlyerfan1
    Participant

    Because we can’t have nice things I fully expect them to drop to 6th while the Penguins get the #2 pick. It’s as inevitable as death and taxes.

    #2795
    JudgeDredd27
    Participant

    Foerster (I gotta learn how to spell that) is one of two untouchables on the current roster. So in the words of John Malkovich in Rounders, “pay the man his money.”

    It’s really a no brainer. This guy has something about him. Has future captain written all over him and has talent. I’ve read before that people have compared him to a very young version of Mark Stone. A high compliment and if so, worth every penny on a long term deal.

    #2799
    JudgeDredd27
    Participant

    No matter what, the Flyers will get a solid prospect. Not really up on the players other than what I read, but it seems picks 3-7 are projected to be top 6 NHL players with potential to be top line guys.

    O’Brien
    Desonyers
    Hagans
    Frondell
    Martone

    #2808
    MBFlyerfan1
    Participant

    As has been said by others, I don’t like long term deals for non superstar players, but this is the nature of the NHL. If Foerster develops into a perennial 35 goal player then it will be ok. Let’s hope that happens.

    #2815
    TheMarvel
    Participant

    I also look at Foerster as a future possible captain. Good two way winger. Can play the physical game. Consistency is a problem though.

    #2817
    yes its me 2050
    Participant

    What are the chances the flyers sign any of York, Cates, or Tyson to an actual good deal? Assuming it is long term.

    #2836
    Corduroy
    Participant

    Thanks Bill

    #2837
    Corduroy
    Participant

    As has been said by others, I don’t like long term deals for non superstar players, but this is the nature of the NHL. If Foerster develops into a perennial 35 goal player then it will be ok. Let’s hope that happens.

    Can he score 30 before thinking about 35?

    #2838
    yes its me 2050
    Participant

    Well we already have 40 goal scorer Tippet.

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