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Unholy_Goalie
ParticipantIt’s a chicken/egg problem: because this organization is always lacking outside the top 6, they blow all their draft picks on depth players that cost a premium at the deadline. When the draft comes around, they’re desperately trying to recoup some picks so that they have something to draft, but since they’re always short early picks, the chances of landing an impact player are low.
It all stems from the top-down approach this team has had to filling out the roster: ditch Marner, sign JT to a discount, and start balancing out the lineup and maybe we don’t need to cough up picks every deadline for Laughtons and Folignos. -gravey
I disagree. If the Leafs never signed Tavares and kept on the path of keeping their own guys at lower contracts and drafting, they wouldn’t have been in this mess.
They saw a prized UFA that finally wanted to come to Toronto but they made him the 2nd highest paid player in the league when they had 3 of their own stars they had to sign AFTER he got that deal.
After that happened, the Leafs put themselves in a cycle of panic buying every deadline because the market is impatient and they death spiraled after that.
Keeping Tavares, even at a discount (look at how trash Duchene was in the playoffs for Dallas even at 3 million) is among the worst things they could do. For the same money, they’re better off with Rielly Smith (if he wants to come “home”) and trading Rielly.
Unholy_Goalie
ParticipantSure – but Johnston was drafted 23rd – noting that the Leafs since 2021 held the 25th, 25th, 25th, 23rd (traded down) and will have the 25th spot again this year. As we’ve noted, they haven’t done a good job of getting value for their 1st round picks that they’ve traded, but they have seemingly found some value in their later picks – Danford, Cowan, Minten, Hildeby, Grebenkin, Knies – maybe even Akhtyamov all have NHL potential – that’s largely since 2021. Setting aside the tragedy with Amirov, the 2020 draft was disappointing – to have made 12 picks and have none of them turn out (save maybe Akhtyamov) is terrible.
This all being said – the guy we hired to be our new Director of Amateur Scouting, Mark Leach, comes from Dallas. -monkeypunk
Sorry but I don’t see enough value in the Leafs picks considering how little impact they’ve had on the ice for the Leafs. And I’m looking at the picks made as far back as 2016. Most of them have been traded for rentals, sure, but nothing that has actually created legit depth or helped win playoff games and series.
Maybe I’m missing something but in total I see Knies and Woll for the Leafs…and J. Robertson, Hintz, Harley, Oettinger and Johnston for the Stars as non-lottery legit contributing players. Mason Marchment is a direct example of a steal as well.
From 2016 until 2025, the Leafs should have at least 2 or 3 more guys who are direct impact players today. That’s basically landing one legit impact guy every two drafts. I don’t think that’s asking too much. And yet, the Leafs have seemingly never been able to do it. The Leafs seem to get one every five drafts.
I’m glad they have at least one person from Dallas working on the team but we won’t be sure he’s the guy who was really the biggest brain behind the operation until many years down the road. Unfortunately, the people in charge the past 10-12 years clearly didn’t get enough hits to make a difference when we need it the most; right now.
I still maintain that if this Leafs team had it’s top 10 lottery picks as the core and the correct 1st/2nd round pick depth picks behind them, this team would be right in the conversation of Stanley Cup contenders instead of throwing away it’s leading point producer and trying to replace him with old, overpaid, spare parts as a piss poor excuse for patch work depth.
Unholy_Goalie
ParticipantWith all due respect to the Carolina Hurricanes, and bearing mind that the Leafs failures are evident – but also tell the tale of their path – the Eastern team in the Stanley Cup final has been from the Atlantic Division every year since 2019. The Atlantic is a gauntlet – Boston, then Tampa and now Florida have all been powerhouses. Would Jim Nill have managed the Leafs into surpassing any of them? I don’t know. A lot of the Stars players did not have an answer for both the Oilers speed and their physicality. Wyatt Johnson had an exceptionally awful playoff. Did you know that the -16 he and Duchene both had is the worst playoff +/- since they started tracking it (Paul Reinhart had a -16 to tie this auspicious mark in 1982-83). -Monkeypunk
I definitely could see Nill being able to do a better job in our division than what they’ve done the previous 10 years under various puppets of Shanahan. Even if it was a 5% improvement, that could have been the difference between winning and losing all those Game 7s.
I agree, Johnston was horrid defensively but I’d rather have him as a trading chip than N. Robertson or Jarnkrok, especially if it were able to facilitate being able to bring in high quality reinforcements like Rantanen.
Unholy_Goalie
ParticipantAny homegrown talent we’ve run out of town, so I don’t know what to tell you.
But putting all your eggs in one basket and that basket falling off the counter and shattering in a pile of goop and shell fragments — which can describe our Core 4 playoff performance for like 8 years — is never going to work.
Bye-bye Marndawg, hello weaponized cap space. Bennett, Marchand, let’s go. -gravy
Running the wrong guys out of town is exactly what Leafs fans are well known for. Marner will call Kadri after he wins a Cup on his new team and they’ll laugh about it together.
I just can’t picture Bennett or Marchand signing with the Leafs. Especially Bennett, why would he leave Florida?!? Their window is WIDE open, and they’re set up to be a problem for at least next year as well. -whip
There’s only one thing the Leafs can offer Bennett and Marchand; overpayment. The Leafs did it with Tavares, they may do it again, but it won’t work. That’s pretty much for sure because Bennett and Marchand would be world class morons to leave Florida to Toronto.
Florida will be good until Bob falls apart, which at 37, could start next year. Or soon after.
Unholy_Goalie
ParticipantNoting that Jim Nill has been the GM of Dallas for 12 years and they have not only won nothing, they have missed the playoffs in 4 of those years. I like Dallas – I think they are an excellent hockey team.
They also haven’t ever drafted 1st overall. Highest pick (and only in the top 10 in the past 12 years) was Miro Heiskanen.
They have gone further than the Leafs, more often than the Leafs. Missing the playoffs and 1st round exists aren’t all that different.
I see that as a work in progress that has Cup winning potential for at least the next 5 years. But, McDavid…
So, I can only imagine how badly destroyed the Leafs would be if McDavid was in the way every single year.
I also like the teams and style of Tampa, Carolina and Winnipeg – and just like the Leafs, none are playing.
Tampa Bay and Carolina do much better at the draft table than the Leafs. Winnipeg, not so much. But it usually shows up on the ice which is why Tampa Bay has won Cups and Carolina goes deep often.
Typically Nill has held onto his picks and he’s drafted well – although his second round picks have worked out better than a lot of his first round picks; you have Robertson, Hintz and I guess Stankoven (I’m not a huge fan of his, but he was used in the Rantanen acquisition, so hard to argue he had value) – but then you had higher picks like Honka, Gurianov, Tufte, Dellandrea and so on that really – for where they were picked – should have hit.
Maybe if he’d landed on those Dallas would’ve won a cup by now, instead of being curb stomped by Edmonton in 5.
I really don’t see any names on the draft years of Honka, Gurianov, Tufte and Dellandrea that would be able to overcome McDavid. Except maybe Pasta in Honka’s year. But even the Leafs would be better off with Pasta than Nylander.
If Nill had Matthews, Marner and Nylander as his base and then added his late 1st / 2nd round picks as depth, the Leafs would be much better off than in the world we currently live in where they throw 1st round picks out for 4th line rentals. I don’t see him making the Tavares mistake either. And he did draft Oettinger (in the 1st round) which is miles ahead of what the Leafs had in net before this past season. Leafs took Liljegren in 2017.
There’s also Wyatt Johnston, 23rd overall. Mavrik Bourque, 30th overall. Thomas Harley, 18th overall. All recent contributors while the Leafs have almost nothing to show for 10 years of 1st round picks.
And when Nill finally does trade a guy like Stankoven and 1st round picks, he lands a mega catch like Rantanen.
We could be looking at something like this instead of what we have…
J. Robertson | Matthews | Marner
Johnston | Hintz | NylanderHarley | Heiskanen
Oettinger
I know who I’d rather have as our GM looking at that alternative…that’s for sure…
Unholy_Goalie
Participanti don’t know much about Lewikie but I’ve heard he’s a take no excuses winner so i’m excited to see who he and mlse bring in as president because i know he has full autonomy ????
Tim Leiweke?
He brought in Shanahan.
And hasn’t been in charge since 2015.
Unholy_Goalie
Participantyes he is cause you like to pylon poop on him and others Leafs players and is cheaper than Kampf. ???????????????? -dmnted
Every single season there are dozens of 4th liners available. Most of them, cost peanuts. The Leafs refuse to sign these players when they are at their cheapest and dive dick first into overpaying for them at the deadline.
And they do it, every, single, year. To the point where they effectively have traded every single 1st round pick for 10 years. A decade. Gone, in trades.
Unholy_Goalie
ParticipantBoy, are you in for more disappointment than AA. -whip
I don’t get disappointed by the Leafs anymore. I already expect they’re going to fail miserably.
Unholy_Goalie
ParticipantThis is exactly what happens when you don’t have a balanced team and are spending a huge chunk of your cap on a 4 players: you have to overpay for complimentary players, in the hopes that you can inject some scoring into the bottom half of your lineup because your expensive guys can’t elevate their game in the playoffs.
Incorrect.
This is exactly what happens when the only impact players the franchise is capable of drafting is lottery picks.
If this Leafs team was constructed by Jim Nill, it would have all the superstar players along with drafted, developed depth players.
Unholy_Goalie
ParticipantLaughton is a pylon. And the Leafs paid for the career high of 18 goals, 43 points price for him.
Rielly can and will be traded if the Leafs management actually put their mind to it.
Rielly not being traded isn’t because he can’t be moved, it’s because the Leafs have decided they believe he’s worth keeping.
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