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II would imagine the Flyers knew that the Carlsson offer sheet, win or lose, was going to drive up the asking price of Zegras and Drysdale. Couple that with the Byram deal, that probably helped Drysdale even more.
Do you think the Flyers get either or both under 10 million AAV or has that ship sailed?
I would walk away from a Drysdale award of 10M or higher. Don’t love 10M for Zegras but can live with it.
The cap inflation is everywhere, not just because of the Carlsson offer sheet. That said, the OS is definitely a factor across the league. They made a first-time RFA the highest-paid player in the NHL (for now).
II would imagine the Flyers knew that the Carlsson offer sheet, win or lose, was going to drive up the asking price of Zegras and Drysdale. Couple that with the Byram deal, that probably helped Drysdale even more.
Do you think the Flyers get either or both under 10 million AAV or has that ship sailed?
Zegras is good but shouldn’t get what Aho does even with cap inflation.
Oh no, that’s not the suggestion. Aho is clearly better. The tricky part, as I see it with Zegras, is he’s a solid 7.5% of the cap guy as he is today, but still has an upside. A solid PPG guy is probably a 10+% of the cap guy. He’s somewhere in the middle. I think he tops out as a .9 guy give or take. Which does put him in a pretty elite grouping.
Some PPG averages for 25 YO and on for comparison:
Aho: 0.997
Larkin: 0.944
Konecny: 0.925
Hischier: 0.886Zegras is good but shouldn’t get what Aho does even with cap inflation.
For example, Carolina’s Sebastian Aho carries a $9.75 AAV on his current deal (which started in 2024-25).
Aho has been a consistent PPG guy for pretty well his entire career.
AHO
Season Age Team Lg Pos GP G A PTS PPG
2016-17 19 CAR NHL RW 82 24 25 49 0.598
2017-18 20 CAR NHL RW 78 29 36 65 0.833
2018-19 21 CAR NHL C 82 30 53 83 1.012
2019-20 22 CAR NHL F 68 38 28 66 0.971
2020-21 23 CAR NHL F 56 24 33 57 1.018
2021-22 24 CAR NHL F 79 37 44 81 1.025
445 182 219 401 0.9012022-23 25 CAR NHL F 75 36 31 67 0.893
2023-24 26 CAR NHL F 78 36 53 89 1.141
2024-25 27 CAR NHL F 79 29 45 74 0.937
2025-26 28 CAR NHL F 79 27 53 80 1.013
311 128 182 310 0.997Zegras has been a consistent .8 PPG guy for the three years he’s been healthy. He still has a nice upside though, just heading into his 25 YO season when top players tend to find higher levels of production from 25 on.
ZEGRAS
Season Age Team Lg Pos GP G A PTS PPG
2020-21 19 ANA NHL C 24 3 10 13 0.542
2021-22 20 ANA NHL C 75 23 38 61 0.813
2022-23 21 ANA NHL C 81 23 42 65 0.802
2023-24 22 ANA NHL C 31 6 9 15 0.484
2024-25 23 ANA NHL C 57 12 20 32 0.561
2025-26 24 PHI NHL C 81 26 41 67 0.827
349 93 160 253 0.725For example, Carolina’s Sebastian Aho carries a $9.75 AAV on his current deal (which started in 2024-25).
Aho has been a consistent PPG guy for pretty well his entire career.
AHO
Season Age Team Lg Pos GP G A PTS PPG
2016-17 19 CAR NHL RW 82 24 25 49 0.598
2017-18 20 CAR NHL RW 78 29 36 65 0.833
2018-19 21 CAR NHL C 82 30 53 83 1.012
2019-20 22 CAR NHL F 68 38 28 66 0.971
2020-21 23 CAR NHL F 56 24 33 57 1.018
2021-22 24 CAR NHL F 79 37 44 81 1.025
445 182 219 401 0.9012022-23 25 CAR NHL F 75 36 31 67 0.893
2023-24 26 CAR NHL F 78 36 53 89 1.141
2024-25 27 CAR NHL F 79 29 45 74 0.937
2025-26 28 CAR NHL F 79 27 53 80 1.013
311 128 182 310 0.997Zegras has been a consistent .8 PPG guy for the three years he’s been healthy. He still has a nice upside though, just heading into his 25 YO season when top players tend to find higher levels of production from 25 on.
ZEGRAS
Season Age Team Lg Pos GP G A PTS PPG
2020-21 19 ANA NHL C 24 3 10 13 0.542
2021-22 20 ANA NHL C 75 23 38 61 0.813
2022-23 21 ANA NHL C 81 23 42 65 0.802
2023-24 22 ANA NHL C 31 6 9 15 0.484
2024-25 23 ANA NHL C 57 12 20 32 0.561
2025-26 24 PHI NHL C 81 26 41 67 0.827
349 93 160 253 0.725The Philadelphia Flyers have roughly one week to work out new contracts with Jamie Drysdale and Trevor Zegras before their respective arbitration hearings.
[See the full post at: Flyers Focus: Arbitration and More]
