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senstrolltwo
ParticipantJays blew that game.
It would be nice if Vlad could hit for power again.Need to take game 3
well they never had the lead in the game, so didnt really blow it. they just didnt complete the comeback..or something
get it back today…cuz fuck the yankees
senstrolltwo
ParticipantNice sweep of the SFG, now 3 against the NYY, also fuck the Yankees
Solid win!
fuck the yankees gm 2senstrolltwo
ParticipantNice sweep of the SFG, now 3 against the NYY, also fuck the Yankees
senstrolltwo
ParticipantIf he can come in and solidify the 4th line, then, by all means. Size and toughness is required to get through Florida. Some may say, the Leafs are ignoring other Atlantic Division contenders and think it’s foolish. Florida has been to the Finals 3 years in a row and they aren’t slowing down. It’s imperative that the Leafs lock down home ice in the first round. Florida, Tampa, Montreal, and Ottawa are all tough teams to play against. The Leafs could finish first again, with less points and still be a better team than last year.
its just 3.25 for a 4th liner? if thats what he is
thats wack
senstrolltwo
ParticipantDon’t think this moves the needle much, wasn’t Laughton shaping up to be our 4C?
Edit: Actually, this might work out fairly well. If he can return to form from a few years ago, he can provide some depth scoring. Seems to me like the Leafs are moving away from being overly top heavy on the scoring side to spreading things out across four lines. He plays a physical game, no? Big boy for sure.
purely looking at 5v5 stats, he had 1 big outlier season in 2023, big PDO bender and sh%
the season before and this last one were both…not greatrisky, doesnt give me a lot of hope.
senstrolltwo
ParticipantJoshua to the Leafs
no idea if thats goodsenstrolltwo
ParticipantKarlsson is horrible.
Avoid him at all cost.he doesnt make sense for the Leafs. Unless its swapping out Rielly and getting Karlsson for a cheaper cap hit, but thats not going to happen
senstrolltwo
Participantif only Marner didnt block the Rantanen trade.
senstrolltwo
ParticipantThere is nothing about Marner that reminds me of Gilmour. DG was all heart and lots of times willed the Leafs to playoffs wins. Marner shits the bed and cries cuz he didnt get his way
senstrolltwo
ParticipantGetting rid of reaves was the point, dont care about the return. could have been a $5 Tim hortons card
senstrolltwo
ParticipantIt’s sort of two-fold – there have been 6 times the 60 goal mark has been hit since salary cap was instituted (Stamkos, Ovechkin, McDavid, Pastrnak and Matthews x 2)- and only 43 times in all of hockey history by 23 players.
In the captain obvious column, there’s a correlation between goals scored in a season and the number of higher scorers – and scoring is still up. Like here’s a brief history of average goals / season in the nhl:
Now here’s a test:
(It says it supports BBCodes. it does not. Here’s a shitty unformatted table to replace the one I’d tried:)
Year Average Goals Leading Scorer
2024 247 52
2023 253 69
2022 258 64
2021 255 60
2020 237 41 ** Shortened by COVID to 56 games, this prorates to 60
2019 244 48 ** Shortened by COVID to 70 games, this prorates to 56
2018 244 51
2017 240 49
2016 223 44
2015 219 50
2014 218 53
2013 219 51It’s not always 1:1 but there’s a pretty strong correlation there between average team goals >250 and the league having a 50 goal scorer. Last year at 247 trended downwards, but the league’s best goalscorer trended downwards. If Matthews had an average season he probably bounces the league average up 1 all be himself. The league’s best player also struggled with his linemates a little and didn’t create a goal machine or be a goal machine either. My personal challenge with era-adjusted scoring is that it sort of ignores the rising tide raises all boats sort of thing – Gretzky and Lemieux alone drove scoring in the NHL. They weren’t a product of it they were a cause. Look at how league scoring drops when they were retired or aging. We see that now with McDavid, MacKinnon and Matthews driving up numbers across the board.
In conclusion, I think Matthews can do it again because he is that good at it and the league is still sustaining it.
If you factor in age, AM will be 28 by the start of the season.
If i looked correctly, the oldest person, in the last 30-35 years to score 60 was Brett Hull, 27
add in Health and the luck needed, its unlikleyone note, AM will get 84 games to try
senstrolltwo
ParticipantFinally saw someone post about this question I asked a while ago.
Marner is worth about 5-6 standings points roughly. career high 7.5, if you believe in Standing points measurements (like WAR)Matthews was way down last season (even with MM on the team)
AM having a bounce back season would make up most of that gap, alonethe response I expect is, AM will never get close to 60-70 goals without MM… and thats dumb.
I dont think he would score 60 again even with MM on the team, no player has 3, 60 goal seasons anymore
in the 50s I see that happeningWith a few more tweaks and maybe a nice tdl addition, the Leafs are no worse off come playoff time..imo
senstrolltwo
ParticipantSlick move getting Reaves off the book completely
senstrolltwo
Participantpretty boring off season since mitchy move.
I cant see much else happening for the Leafs. maybe a trade but doesnt feel like it
senstrolltwo
ParticipantWell the Jays lost one game…back in the shitter they go.
Vlad is absolutely garbage at baserunning and sliding….$35m…hasnt even hit 15hrs….what a joke.
I think he just needs to relax on the bases, he tries to make things happen and over commits and get picked off. just be smarter, its not hard. calculated risks.
they dont need him to be the hero on bases, just hit the ball hard
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